Market Pulse

Market Pulse

June 16, 2025

Market views heading into the week highlight what we're watching and important news ahead.

A look back

  • Stocks took a step back with the S&P 500 sinking  -0.4% as Friday’s pullback dashed hopes for a third straight positive week. The energy sector was the main outperformer, gaining nearly 6% while international markets dropped -0.2%.
  • Yields were pushed lower by softer-than-expected inflation data, though the bond rally was pared on Friday due to rising tensions in the Middle East. The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield dropped back to 3.95% while the 10-year yield closed at 4.41%.
  • Oil prices surged 7% on Friday as conflict erupted in the Middle East. Meanwhile, the Consumer and Producer Price Indices were more benign in May

A look ahead

  • The Federal Reserve (Fed) will be in focus and while the central bank is widely expected to hold rates steady, investors will pay close attention to the “dot plot” showing Fed members’ economic and policy projections.
  • Retail Sales will be the economic highlight. Weekly Unemployment Claims, which have been gaining more attention in recent weeks, will be released on Wednesday with U.S. markets closed Thursday for the Juneteenth holiday.
  • Economic releases: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization, Housing Starts.

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