Growth style relative to value:
We are further upgrading our view of the growth style relative to value from more attractive to most attractive. Growth remains dominated by the technology (tech) sector, where we have maintained a long-standing constructive view.
Exceptional earnings growth continues to support the sector, while valuations have become more favorable. The sector's forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio has retraced to levels seen during prior market shocks, including Liberation Day in 2025 and the oil shock at the onset of the Iran war. Notably, tech's P/E is now near where it stood around the launch of ChatGPT.
International developed markets:
We are further downgrading international developed markets from less attractive to least attractive as it has recently made an 18-month relative price low versus the S&P 500, and relative earnings trends continue to deteriorate while valuations are neutral. These countries are also less insulated from higher energy prices.
High yield:
We are upgrading high yield (HY) from neutral to more attractive. Higher yields, which are roughly 8.0% in the U.S. high yield space, make for an attractive entry point from a total return standpoint.
Current yield levels provide a meaningful cushion against modest spread widening or interest rate risk while offering the potential for equity-like returns with lower volatility over a full market cycle. We favor pairing HY with high-quality U.S. government and investment grade bonds
Leveraged loans:
We are upgrading leveraged loans from least attractive to less attractive. Attractive yields, the asset class's floating-rate structure, and a higher-for-longer interest rate environment support a modestly more constructive outlook. However, software concentration and mixed credit spread signals prevent a more significant upgrade at this time.
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